Stock Analysis on Net

Accenture PLC (NYSE:ACN)

資本資産価格設定モデル (CAPM) 

Microsoft Excel

収益率

Accenture PLC、月間収益率

Microsoft Excel
Accenture PLC (ACN) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t 日付 価格ACN,t1 配当ACN,t1 RACN,t2 価格S&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
2019/09/30 $192.35 2,976.74
1. 2019/10/31 $185.42 $0.80 -3.19% 3,037.56 2.04%
2. 2019/11/30 $201.16 8.49% 3,140.98 3.40%
3. 2019/12/31 $210.57 4.68% 3,230.78 2.86%
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
70. 2025/07/31 $267.10 $1.48 -10.14% 6,339.39 2.17%
71. 2025/08/31 $259.97 -2.67% 6,460.26 1.91%
平均 (R): 0.85% 1.22%
標準偏差: 7.74% 4.97%
Accenture PLC (ACN) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t 日付 価格ACN,t1 配当ACN,t1 RACN,t2 価格S&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
2019/09/30 $192.35 2,976.74
1. 2019/10/31 $185.42 $0.80 -3.19% 3,037.56 2.04%
2. 2019/11/30 $201.16 8.49% 3,140.98 3.40%
3. 2019/12/31 $210.57 4.68% 3,230.78 2.86%
4. 2020/01/31 $205.21 $0.80 -2.17% 3,225.52 -0.16%
5. 2020/02/29 $180.59 -12.00% 2,954.22 -8.41%
6. 2020/03/31 $163.26 -9.60% 2,584.59 -12.51%
7. 2020/04/30 $185.19 $0.80 13.92% 2,912.43 12.68%
8. 2020/05/31 $201.62 8.87% 3,044.31 4.53%
9. 2020/06/30 $214.72 6.50% 3,100.29 1.84%
10. 2020/07/31 $224.78 $0.80 5.06% 3,271.12 5.51%
11. 2020/08/31 $239.93 6.74% 3,500.31 7.01%
12. 2020/09/30 $225.99 -5.81% 3,363.00 -3.92%
13. 2020/10/31 $216.91 $0.88 -3.63% 3,269.96 -2.77%
14. 2020/11/30 $249.09 14.84% 3,621.63 10.75%
15. 2020/12/31 $261.21 4.87% 3,756.07 3.71%
16. 2021/01/31 $241.92 $0.88 -7.05% 3,714.24 -1.11%
17. 2021/02/28 $250.90 3.71% 3,811.15 2.61%
18. 2021/03/31 $276.25 10.10% 3,972.89 4.24%
19. 2021/04/30 $289.97 $0.88 5.29% 4,181.17 5.24%
20. 2021/05/31 $282.16 -2.69% 4,204.11 0.55%
21. 2021/06/30 $294.79 4.48% 4,297.50 2.22%
22. 2021/07/31 $317.68 $0.88 8.06% 4,395.26 2.27%
23. 2021/08/31 $336.56 5.94% 4,522.68 2.90%
24. 2021/09/30 $319.92 -4.94% 4,307.54 -4.76%
25. 2021/10/31 $358.79 $0.97 12.45% 4,605.38 6.91%
26. 2021/11/30 $357.40 -0.39% 4,567.00 -0.83%
27. 2021/12/31 $414.55 15.99% 4,766.18 4.36%
28. 2022/01/31 $353.58 $0.97 -14.47% 4,515.55 -5.26%
29. 2022/02/28 $316.02 -10.62% 4,373.94 -3.14%
30. 2022/03/31 $337.23 6.71% 4,530.41 3.58%
31. 2022/04/30 $300.36 $0.97 -10.65% 4,131.93 -8.80%
32. 2022/05/31 $298.46 -0.63% 4,132.15 0.01%
33. 2022/06/30 $277.65 -6.97% 3,785.38 -8.39%
34. 2022/07/31 $306.26 $0.97 10.65% 4,130.29 9.11%
35. 2022/08/31 $288.46 -5.81% 3,955.00 -4.24%
36. 2022/09/30 $257.30 -10.80% 3,585.62 -9.34%
37. 2022/10/31 $283.90 $1.12 10.77% 3,871.98 7.99%
38. 2022/11/30 $300.93 6.00% 4,080.11 5.38%
39. 2022/12/31 $266.84 -11.33% 3,839.50 -5.90%
40. 2023/01/31 $279.05 $1.12 5.00% 4,076.60 6.18%
41. 2023/02/28 $265.55 -4.84% 3,970.15 -2.61%
42. 2023/03/31 $285.81 7.63% 4,109.31 3.51%
43. 2023/04/30 $280.29 $1.12 -1.54% 4,169.48 1.46%
44. 2023/05/31 $305.92 9.14% 4,179.83 0.25%
45. 2023/06/30 $308.58 0.87% 4,376.86 4.71%
46. 2023/07/31 $316.35 $1.12 2.88% 4,588.96 4.85%
47. 2023/08/31 $323.77 2.35% 4,507.66 -1.77%
48. 2023/09/30 $307.11 -5.15% 4,288.05 -4.87%
49. 2023/10/31 $297.09 $1.29 -2.84% 4,193.80 -2.20%
50. 2023/11/30 $333.14 12.13% 4,567.80 8.92%
51. 2023/12/31 $350.91 5.33% 4,769.83 4.42%
52. 2024/01/31 $363.88 $1.29 4.06% 4,845.65 1.59%
53. 2024/02/29 $374.78 3.00% 5,096.27 5.17%
54. 2024/03/31 $346.61 -7.52% 5,254.35 3.10%
55. 2024/04/30 $300.91 $1.29 -12.81% 5,035.69 -4.16%
56. 2024/05/31 $282.29 -6.19% 5,277.51 4.80%
57. 2024/06/30 $303.41 7.48% 5,460.48 3.47%
58. 2024/07/31 $330.62 $1.29 9.39% 5,522.30 1.13%
59. 2024/08/31 $341.95 3.43% 5,648.40 2.28%
60. 2024/09/30 $353.48 3.37% 5,762.48 2.02%
61. 2024/10/31 $344.82 $1.48 -2.03% 5,705.45 -0.99%
62. 2024/11/30 $362.37 5.09% 6,032.38 5.73%
63. 2024/12/31 $351.79 -2.92% 5,881.63 -2.50%
64. 2025/01/31 $384.95 $1.48 9.85% 6,040.53 2.70%
65. 2025/02/28 $348.50 -9.47% 5,954.50 -1.42%
66. 2025/03/31 $312.04 -10.46% 5,611.85 -5.75%
67. 2025/04/30 $299.15 $1.48 -3.66% 5,569.06 -0.76%
68. 2025/05/31 $316.82 5.91% 5,911.69 6.15%
69. 2025/06/30 $298.89 -5.66% 6,204.95 4.96%
70. 2025/07/31 $267.10 $1.48 -10.14% 6,339.39 2.17%
71. 2025/08/31 $259.97 -2.67% 6,460.26 1.91%
平均 (R): 0.85% 1.22%
標準偏差: 7.74% 4.97%

すべて表示

1 普通株式1株当たり米ドルのデータで、分割と株式配当を調整したものです。

2 期間 tにおけるACNの普通株式の収益率。

3 期間 tにおけるS&P 500(市場ポートフォリオの代理)の収益率。


分散と共分散

Accenture PLC、分散の計算、および戻り値の共分散

Microsoft Excel
t 日付 RACN,t RS&P 500,t (RACN,tRACN)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RACN,tRACN)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. 2019/10/31 -3.19% 2.04% 16.30 0.68 -3.32
2. 2019/11/30 8.49% 3.40% 58.34 4.77 16.69
3. 2019/12/31 4.68% 2.86% 14.65 2.69 6.27
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
70. 2025/07/31 -10.14% 2.17% 120.81 0.90 -10.41
71. 2025/08/31 -2.67% 1.91% 12.39 0.47 -2.42
トータル (Σ): 4,194.44 1,730.32 2,146.29
t 日付 RACN,t RS&P 500,t (RACN,tRACN)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RACN,tRACN)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. 2019/10/31 -3.19% 2.04% 16.30 0.68 -3.32
2. 2019/11/30 8.49% 3.40% 58.34 4.77 16.69
3. 2019/12/31 4.68% 2.86% 14.65 2.69 6.27
4. 2020/01/31 -2.17% -0.16% 9.10 1.91 4.17
5. 2020/02/29 -12.00% -8.41% 165.07 92.75 123.74
6. 2020/03/31 -9.60% -12.51% 109.14 188.56 143.45
7. 2020/04/30 13.92% 12.68% 170.88 131.44 149.86
8. 2020/05/31 8.87% 4.53% 64.34 10.95 26.54
9. 2020/06/30 6.50% 1.84% 31.89 0.38 3.50
10. 2020/07/31 5.06% 5.51% 17.70 18.41 18.05
11. 2020/08/31 6.74% 7.01% 34.68 33.49 34.08
12. 2020/09/30 -5.81% -3.92% 44.36 26.45 34.25
13. 2020/10/31 -3.63% -2.77% 20.06 15.89 17.86
14. 2020/11/30 14.84% 10.75% 195.58 90.91 133.34
15. 2020/12/31 4.87% 3.71% 16.12 6.21 10.01
16. 2021/01/31 -7.05% -1.11% 62.39 5.45 18.43
17. 2021/02/28 3.71% 2.61% 8.19 1.93 3.98
18. 2021/03/31 10.10% 4.24% 85.62 9.14 27.98
19. 2021/04/30 5.29% 5.24% 19.66 16.18 17.84
20. 2021/05/31 -2.69% 0.55% 12.56 0.45 2.38
21. 2021/06/30 4.48% 2.22% 13.14 1.00 3.63
22. 2021/07/31 8.06% 2.27% 52.02 1.11 7.61
23. 2021/08/31 5.94% 2.90% 25.93 2.82 8.55
24. 2021/09/30 -4.94% -4.76% 33.58 35.72 34.63
25. 2021/10/31 12.45% 6.91% 134.62 32.43 66.07
26. 2021/11/30 -0.39% -0.83% 1.53 4.22 2.54
27. 2021/12/31 15.99% 4.36% 229.22 9.87 47.56
28. 2022/01/31 -14.47% -5.26% 234.83 41.97 99.27
29. 2022/02/28 -10.62% -3.14% 131.64 18.97 49.98
30. 2022/03/31 6.71% 3.58% 34.35 5.56 13.82
31. 2022/04/30 -10.65% -8.80% 132.16 100.31 115.14
32. 2022/05/31 -0.63% 0.01% 2.20 1.47 1.80
33. 2022/06/30 -6.97% -8.39% 61.20 92.39 75.19
34. 2022/07/31 10.65% 9.11% 96.10 62.28 77.36
35. 2022/08/31 -5.81% -4.24% 44.39 29.85 36.40
36. 2022/09/30 -10.80% -9.34% 135.79 111.50 123.05
37. 2022/10/31 10.77% 7.99% 98.46 45.79 67.14
38. 2022/11/30 6.00% 5.38% 26.50 17.27 21.39
39. 2022/12/31 -11.33% -5.90% 148.32 50.65 86.68
40. 2023/01/31 5.00% 6.18% 17.18 24.56 20.54
41. 2023/02/28 -4.84% -2.61% 32.36 14.68 21.79
42. 2023/03/31 7.63% 3.51% 45.95 5.22 15.49
43. 2023/04/30 -1.54% 1.46% 5.71 0.06 -0.58
44. 2023/05/31 9.14% 0.25% 68.78 0.94 -8.06
45. 2023/06/30 0.87% 4.71% 0.00 12.21 0.07
46. 2023/07/31 2.88% 4.85% 4.12 13.15 7.36
47. 2023/08/31 2.35% -1.77% 2.23 8.95 -4.47
48. 2023/09/30 -5.15% -4.87% 35.95 37.11 36.53
49. 2023/10/31 -2.84% -2.20% 13.64 11.68 12.62
50. 2023/11/30 12.13% 8.92% 127.32 59.26 86.86
51. 2023/12/31 5.33% 4.42% 20.10 10.26 14.36
52. 2024/01/31 4.06% 1.59% 10.32 0.14 1.19
53. 2024/02/29 3.00% 5.17% 4.60 15.62 8.48
54. 2024/03/31 -7.52% 3.10% 70.01 3.54 -15.75
55. 2024/04/30 -12.81% -4.16% 186.69 28.96 73.53
56. 2024/05/31 -6.19% 4.80% 49.54 12.83 -25.21
57. 2024/06/30 7.48% 3.47% 43.97 5.05 14.90
58. 2024/07/31 9.39% 1.13% 72.98 0.01 -0.75
59. 2024/08/31 3.43% 2.28% 6.64 1.13 2.74
60. 2024/09/30 3.37% 2.02% 6.36 0.64 2.02
61. 2024/10/31 -2.03% -0.99% 8.31 4.88 6.37
62. 2024/11/30 5.09% 5.73% 17.97 20.34 19.12
63. 2024/12/31 -2.92% -2.50% 14.22 13.83 14.02
64. 2025/01/31 9.85% 2.70% 80.93 2.20 13.33
65. 2025/02/28 -9.47% -1.42% 106.49 6.99 27.28
66. 2025/03/31 -10.46% -5.75% 127.97 48.64 78.90
67. 2025/04/30 -3.66% -0.76% 20.31 3.93 8.93
68. 2025/05/31 5.91% 6.15% 25.56 24.33 24.94
69. 2025/06/30 -5.66% 4.96% 42.38 13.99 -24.35
70. 2025/07/31 -10.14% 2.17% 120.81 0.90 -10.41
71. 2025/08/31 -2.67% 1.91% 12.39 0.47 -2.42
トータル (Σ): 4,194.44 1,730.32 2,146.29

すべて表示

分散ACN = Σ(RACN,tRACN)2 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 4,194.44 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 59.92

分散S&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 1,730.32 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 24.72

共 分散ACN, S&P 500 = Σ(RACN,tRACN)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500) ÷ (71 – 1)
= 2,146.29 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 30.66


システマティックなリスク推定 (β)

Microsoft Excel
分散ACN 59.92
分散S&P 500 24.72
共 分散ACN, S&P 500 30.66
相関係数ACN, S&P 5001 0.80
βACN2 1.24
αACN3 -0.66%

計算

1 相関係数ACN, S&P 500
= 共 分散ACN, S&P 500 ÷ (標準偏差ACN × 標準偏差S&P 500)
= 30.66 ÷ (7.74% × 4.97%)
= 0.80

2 βACN
= 共 分散ACN, S&P 500 ÷ 分散S&P 500
= 30.66 ÷ 24.72
= 1.24

3 αACN
= 平均ACN – βACN × 平均S&P 500
= 0.85%1.24 × 1.22%
= -0.66%


期待収益率

Microsoft Excel
仮定
LT国債総合の収益率1 RF 4.55%
市場ポートフォリオの期待収益率2 E(RM) 15.00%
普通株式 Accenture システマティックリスク βACN 1.24
 
アクセンチュア普通株式の期待収益率3 E(RACN) 17.51%

1 10年以内に期限が到来しない、または償還不能となるすべての発行済み固定利回り米国債の入札利回りの加重平均(リスクフリー・リターン・プロキシ)。

2 詳しく見る »

3 E(RACN) = RF + βACN [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.55% + 1.24 [15.00%4.55%]
= 17.51%